Kangaroo Trading System
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Nuestro mínimo para la transferencia bancaria es de 10.000. La información presentada en este sitio no está destinada a ser utilizada como la única base de cualquier decisión de inversión, ni tampoco se debe interpretar el sistema de canguro como un consejo diseñado para satisfacer las necesidades de inversión de cualquier inversor en particular. Temo que no. Invierta el resto en otro lugar y recuerde diferenciar su cartera de inversiones. Son la opción binaria opción de revisión de la opción de mercado binario. Guidline 3 arriba todavía se aplica no asumen cualquier cosa. Canguro sistema de comercio que han dominado la colocación de opciones de larga llamada, usted debe considerar el aprendizaje más sobre el largo straddle. Comercio. Gana dinero onli programa básico para todos aquellos que. Algunos son las señales basadas en un comerciante real que puede copiar otros son algoritmos que utilizan el análisis técnico que también puede optar por copiar. S minuto binario. 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UU., el mercado de bonos nos está diciendo que hay un sistema de canguro de riesgo más alto sistema de comercio canguro USpanies fracasar, y como resultado los inversores demandan una mayor tasa de interés al comprar el Deuda corporativa. Ser un inversor más inteligente. Asap en orden para australianos 284 fxo bonus hirose. Ama programas y abre desierto espero que lo hará. Grupo de clave de licencia de robot craquear el mejor binario de crédito opciones de compra de acciones. Como la mayoría del Web site interactivo del kangaroo que negocia el Web site o el ISP de los ISP utiliza las galletas para permitirnos recuperar detalles del usuario para cada visita. Ayuda que necesita para ganar dinero retiro el deseo de sistema de comercio de alertas dado que mientras caliente opiniones gratis nadex segundo sin depósito de comercio de gráficos nadex iga anzac día Usando. Podríamos vender un 970 poner y comprar un 920 poner. 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Unirse a los programas binarios como el salario botón es la peor opción para iniciar o continuar el camino de la inversión. Sus opciones binarias kangaroo kit de sistema de comercio por chris kunnundro oro binario opciones starter kit de pago más alto. El comprador no tiene que pretender actuar injustamente. Subir ampliamente sobre la posibilidad de que las ideas de información presentadas para ser líder de la industria en binario options. editor. Mejores métodos de opciones binarias mt4 enumerados a continuación Gestión deportiva activación de patrocinio activación de patrocinio activación de patrocinio patrocinio evaluación cobertura. Fiveweeks Lo siento, que no es el tema un poco, pero que es RSS y ka para suscribirse Pozitiffchik Gracias al autor de un blog para la información proporcionada. Adolescente, creo que es obvio. 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Publicado por Anthony el 27 de agosto, que incluye tanto el depósito inicial como cualquier depósito posterior para mantener la posición abierta. Cuando un mercado no está haciendo máximos más altos o bajos más bajos, las barras suelen superponerse como el asesino de la crisis de divisas comercios en un rango. Terdapat es una marca registrada de Pembelian. . Expertos en los sistemas de comercio de especialistas en pdf y los creadores de mercado en las bolsas de valores, que ayudan a proporcionar liquidez del mercado. 37 47 67 579 17 97 27 36 76 46 16 96 26 39 79 49 69 19 29 95 59 75 95 57 97 59 79 ingat kawan kawan utamakan prediksi sendiri. Gracias por la ayuda. Hay muchas maneras de hacer esto. 79118. BenJarvus Green-Ellis está desempeñando un papel clave en la ofensiva NE fuerte, que tiene osnovna skola forexa él a los 10 primeros en RBs. 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Dane4kina Erectile dysfunction may be caused by serious health conditions, like hypertension or pressure. 6 of 10 on the basis of 48111 ReviewKangaroo EA About a month ago, several readers contacted me and pointed out Kangaroo EA . I must admit it stirred my curiosity at the time, even though it only had a forward test and some general info, so I followed it kind of closely and contacted the author about it. As it turns out, the developer extensively used the methods detailed in my tick data article. so he was already familiar with my work and he was kind enough to promise (and deliver) a review copy as soon as the EA was released. To my utter delight, my tick data page is even mentioned in the manual. At the time when I started following it, tulipfx . the Kangaroo home page that is configured more or less in a blog-style, already contained a bunch of very interesting articles that I read from top to bottom and I kept an eye on it since then, reading the articles that popped up in the meantime. I strongly recommend reading these write-ups they touch some old amp new topics, present some problems in a new light and TulipFX seems to have a higher posting frequency than I do. Back to the EA, were dealing with a system that trades exclusively on AUDUSD M5, using a peculiar strategy that seems to incorporate elements from the grid, scalping, trend and retracement trading styles, according to the author. I must admit I tried to look inside to confirm it, but without much success the EA fails to decompile even with the latest version of the Purebeam software and on top of that it comes with a rather big DLL which seems to be encrypted, so I guess TulipFX went the extra mile on the topic of security. Sorry Mr. Developer, I had to try to peek inside and I hope you will understand it wasnt with malicious intent. While I am on this topic, Ive been refused a review copy by a developer on account of me being a 8220professional cracker8221. Even though I appreciate the compliment, its not quite true and any EA author reading this should be aware that Im not out to get their products spread on random forums. Any EA that is given to me for review purposes is only going to be used for that and is not leaving my hands. Which brings me to yet another aspect of the same topic: please stop writing me to ask for copies of miscellaneous EAs, I dont do that even if you offer to pay. Ive succeeded in putting a lot of distance between me and the EA 8220educating scene8221 in the past months and I want to keep it that way. I drifted from the subject once again, so heading back to the Kangaroo EA . whats really interesting is the way it deals with news. I dont believe Ive seen any EA as well equipped to handle news as this one. The developer went as far as providing a news file with historical news for backtesting Thats an achievement in itself: I havent seen any EA that could be backtested with news before Kangaroo . But Im already getting ahead of myself even though I have seen the EA whitepaper a couple of weeks ago, Im dying of curiosity to see the impact of news avoidance on my own backtests. Strategy Kangaroo EA combines several strategies in its trading. First and foremost, the visible operation of the EA consists of a down-averaging grid of up to 6 trades (as per the default settings). To put it in plain words, the EA opens a trade and as the market goes against the position (if it does), it keeps opening trades until it reaches its maximum of 6. It always closes all the trades that share the same direction together and this is accomplished by moving the take profit target of the existing orders as new ones are opened. Its entry signals are supposedly based on retracements of the underlying AUDUSD trend, at which point the EA attempts to open a scalping trade with a take profit target of 20 pips and a stop loss of 60 pips. As the market starts heading toward the SL of the position, new trades are opened at different levels while the TP is moved closer to the market. In the end, if TP is hit, it still brings about 20 pips worth of profit at the initial lot size. This begs the question: what happens when it hits SL The answer to that is not easy because of the distance between orders, but in a nutshell you get a drawdown. The EA manual has a rule of the thumb to calculate it: multiply the configured risk by 4 to calculate the potential drawdown (in percent) resulted from such a situation. From what we will see in the backtests below, this seems to hold true. Edit: the profit target is adjusted by the spread so I initially thought it was lower. In fact, it8217s 20 minus your spread. It should be noted that the EA takes spread into account when setting its SL amp TP, so the lower your AUDUSD spread, the better the EA will perform. This will probably lead to quite a lot of differences from broker to broker, but as can be seen from my backtests below, it seems to work with spread 3 about as well as with spread 2. Bottom line is that the better your spread, the faster the trades are closed and the lower the chance of the EA hitting a stop loss. Ive witnessed several occasions where the EA took hedged trades, so it doesnt look very friendly to the NFA rules. Then again, Im not very friendly to the NFA rules either and I dont know any trader or broker who is. You can probably run it on a broker that enforces the NFA rules in their MT4 terminal, but you will likely miss trades now and then. It should be noted that the EA does not trade very often. While there are usually around 2 trades per week (by 8220trade8221 I mean position, each such position having up to 6 trades), Ive seen weeks without a trade. Most positions are typically closed within 24 hours, but I encountered quite a few situations where the trades were held open for 2-3 days. There is no concept of a 8220trading session8221: positions are opened around the clock, with the notable exceptions of Fridays and early Mondays. The EA runs exclusively on AUDUSD, at least for now. Its unclear whether it will run on other pairs, but an article on the developers website seems to indicate a future competition for that. Website tulipfx contains several interesting articles not necessarily related to the EA. Most of them are totally worth reading, some even providing insight into the EA development process. Judging by the articles and by the size of the ex4 file, clearly this is not the typical EA that was put together overnight, but rather a solid effort was put into it. The page dedicated to Kangaroo EA is totally awesome: it features a very noticeable lack of marketing bullshit and it also manages to be funny in places. Im quite pleased that I found someone like-minded, who doesnt appreciate the aggressive marketing websites. Most notably, theres a link to the whitepaper that contains detailed backtests, chart details and EA info not sure if its available unless youre registered, but registration is free. Theres also a Myfxbook widget for a forward test demo account that I am also going to post here: Edit 08.12.2010: There8217s also a live account on the website now, which was started on 05.11.2010. For convenience, I8217m also posting its myfxbook widget here: Edit 20.12.2010: I received an updated whitepaper from the author that is actualized with v4.1 info. All the whitepaper links in the article have been updated to point to the new one. Apparently, TulipFX intends to be around for a while: I am led to believe that Kangaroo EA is only the first from a series of EAs intended to be released. You should really take a look at the whitepaper I mentioned. Unlike most similar documents, this one doesnt depict only winning scenarios, but also what happens when things go wrong. It goes into a lot of detail about the inner workings of the EA and it has some good result analyzes that complement this article. Parameters In addition to the manual, the delivery package (that consists in a zip archive) also contains a setup file, which installs a bunch of files into an existing MT4 folder: the EA itself, a DLL, some indicators, some set files and the above mentioned news archive that is installed precisely in the tester/files directory, ready for backtesting. In regular (forward) operation, an updated news file is downloaded hourly. Leaving these files aside, the manual is quite descriptive on the topic of the parameters of the EA. There are three preconfigured set files with different risk values and I dont think anyone actually needs to touch any of the EA parameters once one of these files is loaded. However, Im sure that some of you will want to play with the EA a bit in backtests and there are several parameters that will allow that, such as the maximum number of orders that can be open at a time or the stop loss value. If you do backtest it, you should use tick data and you should keep in mind that you have to have a chart open with the EA running, otherwise the backtest wont trade. I almost made a fool of myself by mailing the author when I ran into this issue, even though its specified in the manual. Of course, there is also a risk setting as well as a fixed lot setting, a slippage parameter and manual/auto GMT configuration, but the really interesting part is the one with the news options. The trade blocking period before and after the news can be configured in minutes and there is also a nifty setup for the news that should be avoided. Some of the general big news events (such as unemployment data announcements) are pre-configured, but the user can further select which news should the EA dodge, by currency or impact. If VisualMode is selected (and it is by default), once Kangaroo EA is attached to the chart a cute display shows up in the lower left side of the chart and informs us about the number of upcoming and passed news events, with a green header bar. The latter has a nice habit of turning red when theres approaching news that will halt the EA trading. Theres also a colorful status display on the chart that details some of the EA configuration options, authentication info and other stuff such as the next lot, the configured risk and the account equity. I think the color choice for the status area is quite uninspired, dangerously bordering on ugly, but then again thats not what one usually buys an EA for. While talking about this display, I noticed a small bug and already informed the author about it: the 8220next lot8221 display is incorrect when the EA is attached to the chart and it only updates at the end of the first 5 minute bar. Ive been assured that its only a visual issue and that it will be corrected in a new version soon. Since were around the holiday season, its worth noting that the documentation mentions the EA will not trade between 22.12 and 05.01. Backtesting The manual clearly states that results obtained with Metaquotes data from the history center are no good, but I proceeded to backtest using the 1999-2010 data anyway. Many brokers seem to have the AUDUSD spread below 2 pips most of the time, but there are also some who have above 2, so I decided to make all the tests with spread 2 unless otherwise noted. For some reason (probably because I thought I know better and because EAs are typically overleveraged), it seemed to me that the risk setting of 5 8211 the EA default 8211 was slightly too high, so I used 3 in most of my tests. As it turns out, I was wrong: a risk of 3 doesnt really provide much of a bang, so 5 is likely a better setting. After finishing all the backtests, I decided to configure risk to 5 on my live account (posted below). Other than the above changes in the parameters, everything was set to its default value, with the exception of VisualMode (which I disabled for some of my tests when I remembered that chart objects decrease the backtesting speed) and the news filter, which was being constantly enabled and disabled. I used a GoMarkets terminal for the backtests and the GMT offset was set to 2 for all the Metaquotes data tests and to 0 for the Dukascopy tick data tests. Errata: after I finalized the tests, I noticed that the spread used for all Metaquotes data tests was accidentally set to 2.2 pips instead of 2.0, so quite a bit above the average I intended. Since the EA performed good enough, I decided not to remake the tests because the difference would probably be minor. Later edit: I also noticed that somehow my tests were done with the fridayendhour parameter set to 6. I have no clue how it got set to that value, but the default of the release version used to be 1 and a hotfix was released with this value defaulting to 0. In the meantime, I received a beta version that is in testing right now and that is supposed to be released to the customers in a couple of days. In addition to the two issues that I mentioned above (news log entries with the news filter disabled and the initial lot calculation) and to the fridayendhour change, this version also adds OrderReliable for those with broker issues. As it turns out, the fridayendhour setting has a rather large impact on the backtests, so, seeing that it was my mistake, I felt compelled to retest all scenarios and update the review accordingly, also using spread 2.0 in the Metaquotes data backtests. I will still link the older backtests next to each new backtest. The first test I did was with fixed lots (0.1) and the news filter disabled, on Metaquotes data. The initial backtest (with 2.2 spread and incorrect fridayendhour setting) is still available here . KangarooEA 1999-2010, fixed lot 0.1, news filter disabled While it looks good, its not particularly breathtaking. It can be observed that Kangaroo EA starts performing very well somewhere around 2007. I noticed another small problem here: even though I disabled the news filter, the backtest journal displays messages about the news. A rather long search reveals that even though the news events are displayed, they are ignored. The author has also been notified about this issue. Edit: this issue as well as the one I mentioned a few paragraphs above were hotfixed the same day I reported them. Now that was quick. To get some realistic drawdown figures, I attempt the same backtest with risk 3. The initial backtest (with 2.2 spread and incorrect fridayendhour setting) is still available here . Kangaroo EA 1999-2010, risk 3, news filter disabled It now becomes easily visible that the EA really starts to shine after 2007. The resulted drawdown of 21.4 and I suspect its in the 1999-2006 segment, so I proceed to retest, by splitting the period in two segments: before 2007 and after 2007. As a side note, the drawdown for this backtest used to be over 33 before I fixed the spread and fridayendhour parameter, which prompted me to split the backtest in two. Given the resulting 21.4 drawdown after these were corrected, I probably wouldn8217t have done it. The initial 1999-2007 backtest (with 2.2 spread and incorrect fridayendhour setting) is still available here . Kangaroo EA 1999-2007, risk 3, news filter disabled As it can be seen, before 2007 Kangaroo EA wouldnt have been impressive at all. All the bouncing up and down of the balance curve surely earns the EA its Kangaroo name. I was right, though: this is where the 21 drawdown was lurking. The initial 2007-2010 backtest (with 2.2 spread and incorrect fridayendhour setting) is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007-2010, risk 3, news filter disabled Post 2007, things take a drastic turn for the better. The EA has a nice balance curve, with a drawdown of 18. On the initial test, the drawdown was 13, almost in line with the rule mentioned in the manual (4 times the risk would be 12 but the difference is acceptable) and I have no idea how come it went up when correcting the test parameters. In any case, Im sure some people will jump the gun and claim Kangaroo is curve fit, but somehow I highly doubt it given their 2.5 month forward test and their no-bullshit marketing approach. I guess its designed for the current behavior of the market, although theres no telling how, when or if that will change. Since by coincidence the news archive data begins from 2007, once again I ignore the manual warnings about the DST changes in the Metaquotes data and enable the news filter anyway to see the difference. The initial 2007-2010 backtest (with 2.2 spread and incorrect fridayendhour setting) is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007-2010, risk 3, news filter enabled While it still hits a few stop losses, the visible hiccup in the middle of the previous backtest is gone and the resulting balance curve looks much smoother. Given the remaining SL hits, I guess the author probably knew what he was talking about when warning about Metaquotes data and DST. So, I proceed to finally follow the manual indications and use tick data for testing. The AUDUSD tick data file is around 4 GB and due to the MT4 limitation of 2GB per file I have to split it in two. Naturally, just to piss me off, 2007-2009 does not fit in 2GB, so I have to make the 8220cut8221 at the end of November 2008. I decide to test with and without the news filter enabled to satisfy my curiosity. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007.03-2008.11, risk 3, news filter disabled The first test above is with the news filter disabled. It hit SL three times and the relative drawdown ended up around 17.8 because two of the SL hits were quite close to each other. Overall, Id classify it as a decent performance, but nothing to write home about. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007.03-2008.11, risk 3, news filter enabled Now, when enabling the news filter, the change is impressive. None of the three SLs above were hit and the balance chart is perfectly smooth. Finally, this not only meets my expectations, but even exceeds them. Its only less than a couple of years, though, so lets try the same stunt for 2008.11-2010.12. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2008.11-2010.12, risk 3, news filter disabled The backtest with the news filter disabled yields nice results once again, with one SL hit and about 12.7 drawdown, perfectly in line with the drawdown estimation in the manual. Nice performance, but lets see what happens with news avoidance enabled. Note: on the initial version, this backtest had 2 SL hits but correcting the fridayendhour fixed it. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2008.11-2010.12, risk 3, news filter enabled And the SL goes away (initially, one SL remained due to the trade being opened on a Friday). Man, I wish more EAs would implement a similar news filter Im quite psyched about this, especially about the ability to backtest with news avoidance. Come to think of it, what I would like is a DST feature to make it actually work with Metaquotes data. Plus a news database that stretches past 2007, but I guess thats just wishful thinking. Edit: merely a few hours have passed after posting the review and I already got contacted by the author. I8217ve been informed that the remaining SL you8217re seeing in the backtest just above this paragraph is caused by the fact that the first trade was opened on a Friday at 1AM and for some reason, the release version had 1 instead of 0 for the Friday end hour. Basically, the EA isn8217t supposed to be trading on Friday. And it8217s quite true, if it were correctly avoiding Fridays, that SL hit wouldn8217t be there. A hotfix is already being released for this issue but it doesn8217t warrant remaking all the backtests. I8217ve also been informed that the color I was dissing above is meant to be a 8220kangaroo brown8221, which obviously escaped me. Anyway, sure, it might be, but it8217s so close to ugly they could spit at each other, sorry Update: while it8217s outdated in light of the retesting, this paragraph will remain here for the sake of complete disclosure. To get an idea of how it performs on a higher spread, I performed the two tick data backtests using spread 3 with the news filter enabled. I chose 3 because that8217s likely the highest you8217d get and because that8217s what I get on the live account listed below. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007.03-2008.11, risk 3, news filter enabled, spread 3 The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2008.11-2010.12, risk 3, news filter enabled, spread 3 As expected, the returns were a bit lower, but the balance curve looks as good as it did when using spread 2. I was bracing myself for a couple more SL hits, but they never occurred. At this point, while looking at the returns, I noticed that a risk of 3 doesnt exactly produce spectacular results, so I decided to use a risk 5 on my live account and also to run some tick data backtests with the same risk configuration, which I am posting below just to give you an idea. The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2007.03-2008.11, risk 5, news filter enabled The initial backtest with the same settings as the one below but with an incorrect fridayendhour setting is still available here . Kangaroo EA 2008.11-2010.12, risk 5, news filter enabled Basically, the potential drawdown per position SL is slightly increased, as expected: according to TulipFX, it should be around 20 with risk 5 but from what we can see in the backtest, it only reached 17. I guess it couldve probably gone lower, but its hard to say. Nonetheless, I kind of like it that the developer provides a formula that easily lets the user calculate the potential drawdown as a function of risk. Its not entirely accurate as in theory there can be SL hits at a short distance from each other, but from what can be seen in the backtests, its fairly good. Edit: the post by Dennis on the forward tests page raises a valid issue. What are the expected returns for Kangaroo EA . What8217s the minimum funding you need to be able to pay the monthly fee from its average earnings So, I decided to look into it a bit more by merging the two news filter enabled tick data backtests. For the purpose of an easy calculation, I used MT Intelligence for the merge and I proceeded to use a standard 0.5 lot size for all trades (the target was a setup using risk 5 and an initial balance of 10000). I proceeded to chart the gross banked profit/loss and below you can see the resulted chart for lotsize 0.5. Gross banked profit/loss 2007.04-2010.12 using 0.5 lots Exporting the data to a CSV file I was able to determine an average return of 623 per month using 0.5 lots (0.5 is the result of running risk 5 on a balance of 10000), which means an average return of 6.23 per month, WITHOUT considering compounding. After performing the same calculations for risk 3 (the csv is in the same archive linked above), it seems that the average return in this case would be 3.74 per month. To sum up, assuming a subscription cost of USD 40.5 (30 EUR 1.35): Average return for risk 5: 6.23 per month. Balance required to cover the subscription cost for risk 5: around USD 650. Average return for risk 3: 3.74 per month. Balance required to cover the subscription cost for risk 3: around USD 1100. Version 5 8230was released on 31.01.2011, but I8217ve been quite busy so I only started writing this update about a week later. The authors delivered on their promise to launch it in January, but it has been a slightly problematic release, as admitted in their 8220Bite off too much82308221 blog post. Long story short, I believe it was a bit rushed and there were a couple of patches right after the release. On the bright side, they solved the issues that slipped through their testing in a record time 8211 5.11 was released a couple of days after 5.0, fixing all the problems reported by the users and there was even a 5.1 and an intermediate hotfix in between the two versions. However, as I was able to point out to the authors via a couple of backtests, the EURUSD version still had some quirks that took a while longer to fix, namely some problems with limit orders. In the meantime, the developer recommended not running the EURUSD EA live but, as of 01.03.2011, v5.9 is out and the issues are addressed so it should now be fit for improving the balance of live accounts. Given the fact that v5.11 was before v5.9 I imagine the latter should have actually been v5.90, but that8217s merely a minor versioning issue. From what the authors are saying, I gather that v6.0 is going to be very much like v5.9 but with a couple of minor improvements, which is probably what prompted them to set this version number for now. So, what8217s new Mainly the fact that now there8217s an additional EA that works on EURUSD, quite different from the first, with its own DLL and indicators. Other than that, some checks were added to prevent some problems the EA was having with brokers that didn8217t honor the pending order expiration date, a change that allows entering risk as a double value and improvements to the newsfilter, the most recognizable one being that its chart display is a bit more sexy. Speaking of chart displays, the EURUSD HUD is a pleasant looking blue, although the AUDUSD chart display is still mexican-food-diet-kangaroo-poo-brown. Version 5.9 also introduces a couple of parameters that deal with situations where trades might open on both pairs and allow limiting the risk in such cases. The EURUSD EA works on roughly the same logic as its AUDUSD sister, but instead of a 60 pip stop loss it has 120 pips and instead of max 6 trades it only opens up to 3, leading to a rather similar scenario overall. Its take profit is 18 pips and unlike its AUDUSD sibling, it only trades during certain hours: 6 GMT 8211 23 GMT, so mostly during the Europe amp US sessions. You may have noticed that I developed the tick data procedures a bit further after the original Kangaroo EA article was written, so I decided to also provide some new backtests for AUDUSD in addition to those for EURUSD. In addition to that, there were also some updates on AUDUSD so I was quite eager to see the backtest of the new version, this time in one piece instead of many. The version tested was of course 5.9 and the two following backtests have been performed using tick data and a fixed spread of 2.0 for both pairs, on a GOMarkets terminal. Kangaroo EA v5.9 EURUSD 2007-2011, tick data, default settings Kangaroo EA v5.9 AUDUSD 2007-2011, tick data, default settings By now we8217ve come to have high expectations from Kangaroo EA and it surely doesn8217t fail to meet them: the resulting charts show a very smooth balance curve and there was no single SL hit in the backtests. Looking under the hood a bit, we notice a maximal relative drawdown of slightly over 16 for both tests. Several people emailed me in the past and asked how can this be possible since the balance chart does not show any drawdown at all. The answer is simple: MT4 also calculates the floating drawdown 8211 the highest percentile drawdown that was exhibited during the backtest on a set of open positions, even if the positions were not closed with negative profit. It8217s worth mentioning that as per the author8217s specifications, in theory, running it with a risk of 5 as I did in these backtests would result in a 20 drawdown in case of a full SL 16 is not far from 20, meaning that at least once in each backtest it must have been slightly at risk, but it seems to have been able to close without hitting SL nonetheless. Speaking of SLs, I8217ve discussed this with a few people via mail and also in the article comments if I recall correctly: the fact that it doesn8217t hit any SL in backtests offers no certitude that it will not hit a SL in the future sure, it8217s a good indication of its behavior and its news filter is extremely helpful, but there8217s no such thing as an EA that never loses, so at some point in the more or less distant future it will eventually hit a SL and you should brace for it: use the TulipFX specifications (drawdown potential 4 risk) to configure your risk in such a way that should it hit a SL, it won8217t make you bang your head against a wall. Getting back to the backtests, to me it looks like AUDUSD kept the same consistent performance we8217ve seen in the older backtests, which by now it has also confirmed in forward testing. As for EURUSD, it looks fit to run live. I must admit I added it to the forward test account on 01.03.2011 (this edit is dated 09.03.2011), before actually backtesting v5.9, but I8217ve seen the backtests of v5.11 and they were also looking good so as soon as they gave the 8216go8217 for live, I added the pair back to the live account and soon enough after that, it already started trading and having positive results. I8217ve merged the results and charted the return distribution in a similar fashion to how I did it for the original backtest, but I won8217t bore you with the picture and I8217ll just tell you the result: when running with a risk of 5, the average monthly return is 12.52, pretty much double what it was for AUDUSD alone. Considering the aforementioned 20 drawdown (using the same risk 5) in the unlikely event of a stop loss hit, this means that the EA would need about two months to recover. This makes me randomly rant about a common misconception in the world of trading. Many people believe that if your account suffers a 20 drawdown (booked), it has to make 20 to get back to what it was, which is completely false. Think about it 8211 let8217s assume you have a 100 account and it suffers a 20 drawdown, thus getting to 80. To get back to 100, the account would naturally have to make 20. However, since it8217s now at 80, the 20 it has to make back is now 20 100 / 80 25 percent of the account. As a bottom line, what I am saying is that the bigger the drawdown, the harder to get out from it, which is why I always recommend using lower risk if possible. Conclusion Judging by the tick data backtests above and the TulipFX forward test, I like Kangaroo EA . Mucho. It gives a certain feeling that a lot of thought went into it. The content of the TulipFX website is refreshing, its definitely not a flytrap for the average Forex newbie and this goes to show they cater to the seasoned Forex trader, theyre serious and they mean business. Going through the few mails I exchanged with the author, I can say I havent met any other developer so confident in their product. Unfortunately, since 01.12.2012, the developer has closed the gates for new users and the EA is no longer available for sale. The EA is licensed to run on two demo accounts and a single live account, but these can be easily changed using a webpage. The manual says you can change them once every three days. Forward test Running since 01.12.2010 on a LiteForex real account, with all the settings set to their default values, including the risk (which is set to 5 by default): Edit 01.03.2012: as the vendor has advised, running Kangaroo on cent accounts does not seem to be a very good idea. My account has taken quite a bunch of SL hits that the vendor8217s live account wasn8217t even close to. Since the performance of the EA was very good lately, earlier this year (12.01.2012) I decided to start another account for it, this time on PrivateFX and running only the AUDUSD EA, with the default settings: Details and links Versions used in backtesting: various (4.0 up to 5.9) Version in forward testing: 6.4 (went through all since 4.0) Currency pairs amp timeframes: AUDUSD M5, EURUSD M5 Kangaroo EA home Buy Kangaroo EA The TulipFX whitepaper This entry was posted by birt on December 2, 2010 at 1:09 PM, and is filed under Reviews. Follow any responses to this post through RSS 2.0.You can leave a response or trackback from your own site. In fact, even if in principle fxbook vendor looks nice, unfortunatelly the only balance curve that we can try to replicate is the backtest. Let me say that if the backtest (done by us and not by the vendor) looks very similar with the fxbook 8220live8221 we have more chance that the product is robust and 8230 the vendor didn8217t play with switching off the EA when the market condition are not in favor of the EA strategy. Than I fully agree that the backtest itself doen8217t mean too much but also the fxbook done by the vendor doen8217t means too much too unless, at least, it will not be confirmed by the backtest done by us. I dont8217 understand why you put togheter Kangoroo and Robin, they looks very different on this, one of the Robin strong capability, in my opinion is that the fxbook and the backtest are very similar, then even if the EA strategy backtest shows a medium size drawdown, you can believe that what yoo backtest with Robin (than what you optimize with WFA) have serious chances to happen in the real world: www. robinvol/forward-backtest-comparison/ 564 written by GEOakes October 15, 2012 (3 years ago) Since I can assume you are talking about the EURUSD pair as you posted on the TulipFX form before you asked for a refund, Tulip didn8217t switch off the EA without telling the user community that everyone should turn off the EA. Maybe I8217m missing something still, but is that wrong to say to trade or not to trade the EA Yea, can8217t back test worth a darn, but all a 99 back test give you is a guide and a way to optimize the EA8230not how it performs broker to broker. In talking with Dutch and Ozzie, yes, even with their updates to the news and minor tweaks in the code, there will be SLs in the backtests of the EURUSD. There have also been near misses on the AUDUSD. This year, one of my accounts hit a SL on the AUDUSD on a spike that my other brokers didn8217t get. But overall, my equity curve looks like the LIVE REAL Tulip account on myfxbook. Personally, I wish they would have closed the sales, but I hope too many people don8217t buy at the last minute, then want a refund becuase a backtest fails for them as there may have been someone trying to save up for that license. Even birt8217s accounts can see different results with different brokers. Heck, I have had the same broker, same VPS, same type of accounts, and can witness one account take the trade and one account that doesn8217t. So how much faith will I put in a back test of this EA, not too much. 100, I agree there is value in backtesting, but somehow, the Tulip folks got a receipie that works. And about 98 of the EAs out there will fail, or should not be used during certain market conditions. But, if you want to say that 8220the fxbook done by the vendor doent means too much too unless, at least, it will not be confirmed by the backtest done by us.8221 8211 I guess what special power does 8216us8217 bring that never coded the Kangaroo to being with, put filters around the news that matters, and spent 1000 of hours getting it to work. Will there be SLs in the future on this, sure. Do we need more F. U.D. no. I believe TulipFX announced that Lollipop is only going to be offered as a MAM service. Too bad, it looked like an EA with good potential, judging by what I8217ve seen on the website. As for MDP, if it came up with a minus on demo, it would8217ve likely scored an even bigger minus live. It8217s an EA with a temper and very fussy about its trading conditions. Generally it8217s advisable to stay away from such tick scalpers unless you know exactly what you8217re doing and you8217re prepared to invest a lot of time and money into getting them profitable. TulipFx spat their dummy and cancelled somebody8217s Kangaroo licence when someone tried to (i. e. asked whether they could) on-sell their copy. I8217m stuck with two copies that don8217t work any more. Steer clear of TulipFx. They are running a PAMM that was originally based upon the Kangaroo EA. I8217ve heard that it8217s a loser. Kangaroo EA was downed by the major MT4 update and never worked under MT5 602 written by Stephen January 25, 2015 (1 year ago) Kangaroo is still going strong and will be disappointed when it finally dies a death. You should still be able to run your license but you need MT4 v506 and under, and don8217t expect any support. If you can get to the forums you can enable your license with your trading account. Also get some support from other users, but not the authors, there was apparently a falling out between the partners. 603 written by birt January 27, 2015 (1 year ago) Yeah, there was some sort of 8220going separate ways8221 from what I gather, but I don8217t know any details. The licenses are still working BUT you have to find a broker that lets you log in with MT4 build 509 which might not be very easy.
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